New England stayed on course by destroying Buffalo, while Miami meekly surrendered to an injury hit Philadelphia team. So, the new probabilities:
New England (needs 6 wins): 0.46
Miami (needs 6 losses): 0.10
And while I'm at it, for this week:
New England wins vs Philadelphia: 0.89
Miami loses vs Pittsburgh: 0.92
Don Shula's guys might not be sending champagne this year, the way the Patriots are playing. But then, we thought that about Indy a couple of years ago, too.