Much has been written about the Patriots and their shot at immortality, going undefeated through the season. The postseason possibilities are too numerous to bother with at this point, but using Bill James' Pythagorean formula, adapted for football, and again mucking about with point totals to cater for opponents of differing standards, we can track New England week by week for the regular season, at least.
But we can do better than that. Not only are the Pats chasing the 1972 Dolphins, the Rams and the present day Dolphins are both chasing the magnificently awful 1976 Buccaneers. In going 0-14, Tampa Bay was shut out five times, gave up more than 40 points five times, and just once scored 20 points.
So, what are the chances of these teams running the table?
New England (needs 7 wins): 0.31
Miami (needs 8 losses): 0.05
St. Louis (needs 8 losses): 0.21
I'll update this one every week. Stay tuned...